V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka

J1 League — Japan

Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 05:00 • Peace Stadium

Match Finished

V-varen Nagasaki

1 - 0

Avispa Fukuoka

Expected Goals

1.52 (league 1.32) 0.66 (league 1.14)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
57.6%	25.8%	16.1%

best score tips

1 - 0

17.2%

2 - 0

13.1%

1 - 1

11.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Avispa Fukuoka
		0	1	2	3	4	5
V-varen Nagasaki	0	11.3%	7.5%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	17.2%	11.3%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.1%	8.6%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	6.6%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki	Avispa Fukuoka
Played	5	5
Form	40%	20%
Attack	70%	40%
Defense	10%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	4 \| 0.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%

FT probability

2.5+

57%

FT probability

3.5+

41%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki			Avispa Fukuoka
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	3	2	5
Wins	50%	33%	40%	33%	0%	20%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	50%	67%	60%	67%	100%	80%

V-varen NagasakiLLWWL

Avispa FukuokaWLLLL

League goals

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki			Avispa Fukuoka
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	5	7	3	1	4
GF avg	1.0	1.7	1.4	1.0	0.5	0.8
GA total	3	6	9	8	4	12
GA avg	1.5	2.0	1.8	2.7	2.0	2.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	V-varen Nagasaki		Avispa Fukuoka
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	80%	80%	60%	100%
1.5	40%	60%	20%	80%
2.5	20%	40%	0%	20%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	20%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki			Avispa Fukuoka
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	1	1	1	1	2

Penalties

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki	Avispa Fukuoka
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki	Avispa Fukuoka
Wins	2	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	2	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	1-0	1-3	2-1	—
Biggest losses	1-3	2-0	1-5	2-0
Goals For	1	3	2	1
Goals Against	3	3	5	2

Model comparison

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki	Avispa Fukuoka
Form	67%	33%
Att	64%	36%
Def	57%	43%
Poisson Distribution	70%	30%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	58.0%	42.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.30 @ Bet365

Away3.60 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365

No1.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • V-varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

V-varen Nagasaki

Avispa Fukuoka

J1 League • Japan • Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 05:00 • Peace Stadium

Expected goals

1.52

V-varen Nagasaki xG League Avg: 1.32

Total

2.18

0.66

Avispa Fukuoka xG League Avg: 1.14

1x2 probabilities

Home

57.6%

Draw

25.8%

Away

16.1%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

17.2%

Tip

2 - 0

13.1%

Tip

1 - 1

11.3%

More chances

1.5+

81%

Chance

2.5+

57%

Chance

3.5+

41%

Chance

BTTS

73%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 4

Exp.

#VVarenNagasaki #AvispaFukuoka #J1League #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): V-varen Nagasaki = 1.52 (league 1.32), Avispa Fukuoka = 0.66 (league 1.14)

		Avispa Fukuoka
		0	1	2	3	4	5
V-varen Nagasaki	0	11.3%	7.5%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	17.2%	11.3%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	13.1%	8.6%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	6.6%	4.4%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	2.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 16.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	V-varen Nagasaki	Avispa Fukuoka
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0