Erovnuli Liga
— Georgia
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 17:00 •
David Petriashvili Stadium
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.37)
0.49 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.8% | 44.7% | 24.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
34.1%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Saburtalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gagra | 0 | 34.2% | 16.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 33% | 11% |
| Defense | 33% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
42%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
GagraLDLW
SaburtaloWLD
League goals
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gagra | Saburtalo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gagra | Saburtalo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 41.5% | 58.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.25 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.65 @ Superbet
Away1.82 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Gagra
vs
Saburtalo
Expected goals
0.58
Gagra xG
League Avg: 1.37
Total
1.07
0.49
Saburtalo xG
League Avg: 1.22
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.8%
Draw
44.7%
Away
24.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
34.1%
Tip
1 - 0
20.0%
Tip
0 - 1
16.7%
More chances
1.5+
42%
Chance
2.5+
30%
Chance
3.5+
21%
Chance
BTTS
48%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Gagra = 0.58 (league 1.37), Saburtalo = 0.49 (league 1.23)
| Saburtalo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gagra | 0 | 34.2% | 16.7% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.8% · Draw 44.7% · Away win 24.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1