Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 35.9% | 25.5% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Dinamo Batumi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dila | 0 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Home strong edge
Dila carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 234 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dila +4.5, Dinamo Batumi +24.8.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1633.7 | 1434.5 |
| Form Elo | 1621.9 | 1455.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1553.3 | 1461.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1603.4 | 1484.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1612.1 | 1302.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.5 | +24.8 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dila last-5 Elo change: +4.5; Dinamo Batumi last-5 Elo change: +24.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 67% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 67% | 43% | 33% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 75% | 57% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
League goals
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dila | Dinamo Batumi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dila | Dinamo Batumi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 70.0% | 30.0% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Dila = 0.88 (league 1.37), Dinamo Batumi = 0.65 (league 1.22)
| Dinamo Batumi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dila | 0 | 21.7% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.0% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 35.9% · Away win 25.5%
