Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 2.00)
0.54 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 25.9% | 13.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Fittja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rågsved | 0 | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Rågsved carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 112 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Rågsved +11.3, Fittja -24.9.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Rågsved
vs
Fittja
Elo gapRågsved +112
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3046.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3046.8
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1562.1 | 1484.7 |
| Form Elo | 1578.7 | 1444 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1544.4 | 1494.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1666.8 | 1490.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1576.7 | 1503.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +11.3 | -24.9 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Rågsved last-5 Elo change: +11.3; Fittja last-5 Elo change: -24.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 24% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
RågsvedWDWD
FittjaDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rågsved | Fittja | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rågsved | Fittja |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 63.0% | 37.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Rågsved
vs
Fittja
Expected goals
1.50
Rågsved xG
League Avg: 2.00
Total
2.04
0.54
Fittja xG
League Avg: 1.48
1x2 probabilities
Home
60.4%
Draw
25.9%
Away
13.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
19.5%
Tip
2 - 0
14.6%
Tip
0 - 0
13.0%
More chances
1.5+
69%
Chance
2.5+
48%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Rågsved = 1.50 (league 2.00), Fittja = 0.54 (league 1.48)
| Fittja | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rågsved | 0 | 13.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.5% | 10.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.4% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 13.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1