Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Santiago Bueras
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.27)
1.11 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 25.1% | 26.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Magallanes | 0 | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 11% |
| Defense | 89% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
36%
FT probability
2.5+
25%
FT probability
3.5+
18%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
4-6
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | — | 100% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
MagallanesW
San Marcos de AricaD
League goals
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Magallanes | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 57.4% | 42.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ 10Bet
Away3.30 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Magallanes
vs
San Marcos de Arica
Expected goals
1.58
Magallanes xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
2.69
1.11
San Marcos de Arica xG
League Avg: 0.90
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.4%
Draw
25.1%
Away
26.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.9%
Tip
1 - 0
10.7%
Tip
2 - 1
9.4%
More chances
1.5+
36%
Chance
2.5+
25%
Chance
3.5+
18%
Chance
BTTS
75%
Chance
🟨 Cards
4 - 6
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Magallanes = 1.58 (league 1.27), San Marcos de Arica = 1.11 (league 0.90)
| San Marcos de Arica | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Magallanes | 0 | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 26.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1