San Marcos de Arica vs Union Espanola

Primera B — Chile

Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Carlos Dittborn

Match Finished

San Marcos de Arica

2 - 0

Union Espanola

Expected Goals

0.79 (league 1.27) 0.56 (league 0.90)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
37.6%	38.8%	23.6%

best score tips

0 - 0

26.1%

1 - 0

20.5%

0 - 1

14.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Union Espanola
		0	1	2	3	4	5
San Marcos de Arica	0	26.1%	14.5%	4.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.5%	11.4%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	8.1%	4.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola
Played	5	5
Form	33%	40%
Attack	21%	50%
Defense	79%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%

FT probability

2.5+

40%

FT probability

3.5+

29%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-6

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	San Marcos de Arica			Union Espanola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	3	5	3	2	5
Wins	0%	0%	0%	67%	0%	40%
Draws	100%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	33%	100%	60%

San Marcos de AricaDDDDD

Union EspanolaWLLLW

League goals

Metric	San Marcos de Arica			Union Espanola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	1	2	3	5	2	7
GF avg	0.5	0.7	0.6	1.7	1.0	1.4
GA total	1	2	3	3	4	7
GA avg	0.5	0.7	0.6	1.0	2.0	1.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	San Marcos de Arica		Union Espanola
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	60%	60%	100%	80%
1.5	0%	0%	40%	60%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	San Marcos de Arica			Union Espanola
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	1	0	1
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola
Wins	0	1
Draws	5	0
Losses	0	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	2-0	—
Biggest losses	—	—	1-2	2-1
Goals For	1	1	2	1
Goals Against	1	1	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola
Form	45%	55%
Att	30%	70%
Def	70%	30%
Poisson Distribution	59%	41%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	51.0%	49.0%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ 188Bet

Draw3.40 @ Bet365

Away3.94 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet

No2.02 @ Unibet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • San Marcos de Arica vs Union Espanola

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

San Marcos de Arica

Union Espanola

Primera B • Chile • Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Carlos Dittborn

Expected goals

0.79

San Marcos de Arica xG League Avg: 1.27

Total

1.35

0.56

Union Espanola xG League Avg: 0.90

1x2 probabilities

Home

37.6%

Draw

38.8%

Away

23.6%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

26.1%

Tip

1 - 0

20.5%

Tip

0 - 1

14.5%

More chances

1.5+

57%

Chance

2.5+

40%

Chance

3.5+

29%

Chance

BTTS

68%

Chance

🟨 Cards

3 - 6

Exp.

#SanMarcosDeArica #UnionEspanola #PrimeraB #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): San Marcos de Arica = 0.79 (league 1.27), Union Espanola = 0.56 (league 0.90)

		Union Espanola
		0	1	2	3	4	5
San Marcos de Arica	0	26.1%	14.5%	4.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.5%	11.4%	3.2%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	8.1%	4.5%	1.3%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 38.8% · Away win 23.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	San Marcos de Arica	Union Espanola
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0