Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.36)
1.52 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 25.6% | 60.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Instituto Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 0 | 12.7% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Instituto Res. carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 32 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 -17.9, Instituto Res. +10.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
vs
Instituto Res.
Elo gapInstituto Res. +32
Home / draw / away33% / 26% / 41%
Expected home share45%
Combined Elo3010
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3010
Elo home share
45%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1471.5 | 1538.5 |
| Form Elo | 1455.3 | 1540.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1488.7 | 1497.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1469.4 | 1453.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1471.6 | 1613.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.9 | +10.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 last-5 Elo change: -17.9; Instituto Res. last-5 Elo change: +10.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 0% | 20% | 11% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 75% | 20% | 44% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Loses | 25% | 60% | 44% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2LDLDLDWLD
Instituto Res.WDDLWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 67% | 89% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 44% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | Instituto Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
vs
Instituto Res.
Expected goals
0.55
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 xG
League Avg: 1.36
Total
2.07
1.52
Instituto Res. xG
League Avg: 0.99
1x2 probabilities
Home
13.3%
Draw
25.6%
Away
60.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
19.2%
Tip
0 - 2
14.5%
Tip
0 - 0
12.6%
More chances
1.5+
65%
Chance
2.5+
46%
Chance
3.5+
33%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 = 0.55 (league 1.36), Instituto Res. = 1.51 (league 0.99)
| Instituto Res. | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 | 0 | 12.7% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 60.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1