Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 23:00 •
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Cusco carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 70 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Cusco +12.5, FC Cajamarca -55.0.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Cusco
vs
FC Cajamarca
Elo gapCusco +70
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3045.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3045.1
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Cusco | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1539.9 | 1505.2 |
| Form Elo | 1542.5 | 1472.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1527.8 | 1479.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1520.3 | 1524.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1515 | 1489.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +12.5 | -55.0 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Cusco last-5 Elo change: +12.5; FC Cajamarca last-5 Elo change: -55.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
No predictions available for this fixture.
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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vtt 1 , vtd1