Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 16:00 •
Paide linnastaadion
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.76)
0.47 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.3% | 32.4% | 15.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Nõmme United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paide | 0 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 43% | 71% |
| Defense | 64% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 10 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 8 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
PaideLWDW
Nõmme UnitedLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paide | Nõmme United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 7-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paide | Nõmme United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 62.5% | 37.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.45 @ Unibet
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away6.32 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.81 @ Pinnacle
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Paide
vs
Nõmme United
Expected goals
1.13
Paide xG
League Avg: 1.76
Total
1.60
0.47
Nõmme United xG
League Avg: 1.39
1x2 probabilities
Home
52.3%
Draw
32.4%
Away
15.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
22.8%
Tip
0 - 0
20.2%
Tip
2 - 0
12.9%
More chances
1.5+
77%
Chance
2.5+
54%
Chance
3.5+
39%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Paide = 1.14 (league 1.76), Nõmme United = 0.47 (league 1.39)
| Nõmme United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paide | 0 | 20.0% | 9.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 15.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1