Thu, Feb 26 2026 • 22:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.13)
3.78 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 10.1% | 63.7% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 4
6.9%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carlos Renaux | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 43% | 79% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Carlos RenauxLLLDWLWDLW
Marcílio DiasWLLLLWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 60% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carlos Renaux | Marcílio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 31.8% | 68.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.08 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.29 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Carlos Renaux
vs
Marcílio Dias
Expected goals
1.27
Carlos Renaux xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
5.05
3.78
Marcílio Dias xG
League Avg: 0.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
7.9%
Draw
10.1%
Away
63.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 3
7.3%
Tip
1 - 4
6.9%
Tip
1 - 2
5.8%
More chances
1.5+
71%
Chance
2.5+
50%
Chance
3.5+
35%
Chance
BTTS
67%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Carlos Renaux = 1.27 (league 1.13), Marcílio Dias = 3.78 (league 0.67)
| Marcílio Dias | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carlos Renaux | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 63.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1