Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.31)
0.76 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.9% | 36.4% | 31.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.8%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bafmeng United | 0 | 21.8% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Bafmeng United -23.5, Racing -28.7.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Bafmeng United
vs
Racing
Elo gapBafmeng United +16
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo2995.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2995.9
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1488.2 | 1507.7 |
| Form Elo | 1475 | 1483.6 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1528.7 | 1511.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1428.1 | 1426.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1529.9 | 1591.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.5 | -28.7 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Bafmeng United last-5 Elo change: -23.5; Racing last-5 Elo change: -28.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 43% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 40% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 80% | 56% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
Bafmeng UnitedLWWLLWLDL
RacingDLLWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bafmeng United | Racing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 89% | 50% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 33% | 13% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bafmeng United | Racing |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Bafmeng United
vs
Racing
Expected goals
0.76
Bafmeng United xG
League Avg: 1.31
Total
1.52
0.76
Racing xG
League Avg: 0.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
31.9%
Draw
36.4%
Away
31.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.8%
Tip
1 - 0
16.7%
Tip
0 - 1
16.6%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
61%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Bafmeng United = 0.76 (league 1.31), Racing = 0.76 (league 0.92)
| Racing | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bafmeng United | 0 | 21.8% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.7% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 31.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1