Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 14:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.19) 1.83 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.6% 22.9% 49.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Newroz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 4.5% 8.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.6% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 6.7% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMosulNewroz
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack33%33%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mosul Newroz
HATHAT
Played69159716
Wins17%44%33%33%29%31%
Draws17%22%20%0%14%6%
Loses67%33%47%67%57%63%

Form: Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWL • Newroz: WLLLLLLLDWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Mosul Newroz
HATHAT
GF total511168816
GF avg0.81.21.10.91.11.0
GA total111021111324
GA avg1.81.11.41.21.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMosulNewroz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%56%81%
1.533%40%31%44%
2.513%20%13%19%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMosulNewroz
HATHAT
Clean sheets033123
Failed to score246527

Penalties

MetricMosulNewroz
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricMosulNewroz
Wins22
Draws31
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-24-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricMosulNewroz
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newroz

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mosul = 1.28 (league 1.19), Newroz = 1.83 (league 1.08)

Newroz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mosul 0 4.5% 8.2% 7.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.8%
1 5.7% 10.5% 9.6% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 6.7% 6.1% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.6% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 49.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1