Premier League
— Uganda
Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 13:00 •
Bombo Stadium
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.34)
0.24 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.5% | 45.4% | 11.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.5%
1 - 0
27.6%
2 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Express | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UPDF | 0 | 38.2% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UPDF | Express |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 83% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UPDF | Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 18% | 18% | 18% | 55% | 0% | 27% |
| Draws | 27% | 18% | 23% | 18% | 55% | 36% |
| Loses | 55% | 64% | 59% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
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ExpressWLDLDWDLWLLLWLDDDDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | UPDF | Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 2 | 21 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 10 | 13 | 23 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UPDF | Express | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 73% | 41% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 36% | 23% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 14% | 23% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UPDF | Express | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | UPDF | Express |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UPDF | Express |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UPDF | Express |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.67 @ Unibet
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.20 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.75 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
UPDF
vs
Express
Expected goals
0.72
UPDF xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
0.95
0.24
Express xG
League Avg: 0.84
1x2 probabilities
Home
43.5%
Draw
45.4%
Away
11.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
38.5%
Tip
1 - 0
27.6%
Tip
2 - 0
9.9%
More chances
1.5+
53%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
51%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): UPDF = 0.73 (league 1.32), Express = 0.24 (league 0.84)
| Express | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UPDF | 0 | 38.2% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 27.7% | 6.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 11.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1