Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu

J2/J3 League — Japan

Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 05:00 • Ishin Me-Life Stadium

Match Finished

Renofa Yamaguchi

2 - 0

Sagan Tosu

Expected Goals

1.90 (league 1.32) 1.25 (league 1.20)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
51.3%	22.4%	24.9%

best score tips

1 - 1

10.2%

2 - 1

9.7%

1 - 0

8.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Sagan Tosu
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Renofa Yamaguchi	0	4.3%	5.4%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	8.1%	10.2%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	4.9%	6.1%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Sagan Tosu
Played	4	4
Form	25%	25%
Attack	25%	42%
Defense	58%	42%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.8	5 \| 1.3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1.3	7 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%

FT probability

2.5+

56%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

79%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-1

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi			Sagan Tosu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	50%	0%	25%	50%	0%	25%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	50%	100%	75%	50%	100%	75%

Renofa YamaguchiLWLL

Sagan TosuLWLL

League goals

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi			Sagan Tosu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	2	1	3	2	3	5
GF avg	1.0	0.5	0.8	1.0	1.5	1.3
GA total	2	3	5	2	5	7
GA avg	1.0	1.5	1.3	1.0	2.5	1.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Renofa Yamaguchi		Sagan Tosu
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	100%	75%	100%
1.5	25%	25%	50%	50%
2.5	0%	0%	0%	25%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi			Sagan Tosu
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	0	0	0
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Sagan Tosu
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Sagan Tosu
Wins	1	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	—	2-1	—
Biggest losses	0-1	2-1	0-1	3-2
Goals For	2	1	2	2
Goals Against	1	2	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Sagan Tosu
Form	50%	50%
Att	38%	63%
Def	58%	42%
Poisson Distribution	56%	44%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	56%	44%
Total	51.3%	48.8%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.30 @ 188Bet

Away2.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.87 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365

No2.07 @ Betano

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Renofa Yamaguchi vs Sagan Tosu

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Renofa Yamaguchi

Sagan Tosu

J2/J3 League • Japan • Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 05:00 • Ishin Me-Life Stadium

Expected goals

1.90

Renofa Yamaguchi xG League Avg: 1.32

Total

3.15

1.25

Sagan Tosu xG League Avg: 1.20

1x2 probabilities

Home

51.3%

Draw

22.4%

Away

24.9%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 1

10.2%

Tip

2 - 1

9.7%

Tip

1 - 0

8.1%

More chances

1.5+

80%

Chance

2.5+

56%

Chance

3.5+

40%

Chance

BTTS

79%

Chance

🟨 Cards

1 - 1

Exp.

#RenofaYamaguchi #SaganTosu #J2J3League #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Renofa Yamaguchi = 1.90 (league 1.32), Sagan Tosu = 1.25 (league 1.20)

		Sagan Tosu
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Renofa Yamaguchi	0	4.3%	5.4%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	8.1%	10.2%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%	0.2%
	3	4.9%	6.1%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%
	5	0.9%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 24.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Renofa Yamaguchi	Sagan Tosu
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0