Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 21.6% | 33.7% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Benkovski Isperih | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Varna II | 0 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Away edge
Benkovski Isperih carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 48 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Varna II +3.6, Benkovski Isperih -4.1.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1452.4 | 1535.7 |
| Form Elo | 1430.6 | 1544.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1500.3 | 1510.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1511.8 | 1659.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1407.1 | 1474.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +3.6 | -4.1 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Spartak Varna II last-5 Elo change: +3.6; Benkovski Isperih last-5 Elo change: -4.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 33% |
| Defense | 33% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 42% | 15% | 28% | 75% | 27% | 52% |
| Draws | 8% | 15% | 12% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
| Loses | 50% | 69% | 60% | 8% | 36% | 22% |
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 12 | 34 | 32 | 19 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 35 | 53 | 7 | 22 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 88% | 91% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 60% | 52% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 32% | 30% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 20% | 17% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 10-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 7-1 | 0-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Varna II | Benkovski Isperih |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna II = 1.95 (league 1.85), Benkovski Isperih = 1.71 (league 1.49)
| Benkovski Isperih | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Varna II | 0 | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 33.7%
