Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.85) 1.71 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 21.6% 33.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Benkovski Isperih
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna II 0 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Benkovski Isperih carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 48 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Varna II +3.6, Benkovski Isperih -4.1.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Spartak Varna II Elo 1452.4 · +3.6
vs
Benkovski Isperih Elo 1535.7 · -4.1
Elo gapBenkovski Isperih +48
Home / draw / away32% / 24% / 44%
Expected home share43%
Combined Elo2988.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2988.1
Elo home share 43%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Spartak Varna II Benkovski Isperih
Overall Elo1452.41535.7
Form Elo1430.61544.1
Home / Away Elo1500.31510.9
Attack Elo1511.81659.5
Defense Elo1407.11474.7
Last 5 Elo change+3.6-4.1

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Spartak Varna II last-5 Elo change: +3.6; Benkovski Isperih last-5 Elo change: -4.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack38%33%
Defense33%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Varna II Benkovski Isperih
HATHAT
Played121325121123
Wins42%15%28%75%27%52%
Draws8%15%12%17%36%26%
Loses50%69%60%8%36%22%
Spartak Varna IIWWLLLLDWLWLLWLLDLLLLLWDWL
Benkovski IsperihWLWDWWWWLDDWWDDLWWWDWLL

League goals

Metric Spartak Varna II Benkovski Isperih
HATHAT
GF total221234321951
GF avg1.80.91.42.71.72.2
GA total18355372229
GA avg1.52.72.10.62.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%88%91%61%
1.540%60%52%39%
2.520%32%30%17%
3.54%20%17%9%
4.54%4%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
HATHAT
Clean sheets213819
Failed to score178202

Penalties

MetricSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
Wins24
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-210-10-3
Biggest losses2-47-10-24-1
Goals For53104
Goals Against4724

Model comparison

MetricSpartak Varna IIBenkovski Isperih
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total46.2%53.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Spartak Varna II
vs
Benkovski Isperih
Third League - Northeast • Bulgaria • Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.95
Spartak Varna II xG League Avg: 1.85
Total
3.66
1.71
Benkovski Isperih xG League Avg: 1.49
1x2 probabilities
Home
42.4%
Draw
21.6%
Away
33.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
8.6%
Tip
2 - 1
8.3%
Tip
1 - 2
7.4%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
70%
Chance
3.5+
50%
Chance
BTTS
81%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#SpartakVarnaIi #BenkovskiIsperih #ThirdLeagueNortheast #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Varna II = 1.95 (league 1.85), Benkovski Isperih = 1.71 (league 1.49)

Benkovski Isperih
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Varna II 0 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
1 5.0% 8.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.9% 8.3% 7.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6%
3 3.2% 5.4% 4.6% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.5% 2.6% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 33.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1