3. Division
— Cyprus
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 13:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 1.45)
0.84 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.9% | 12.9% | 8.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.1%
3 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AEN | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AEP Polemidion | 0 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
AEP Polemidion carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 171 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AEP Polemidion +8.6, AEN -53.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
AEP Polemidion
vs
AEN
Elo gapAEP Polemidion +171
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3033.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3033.8
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1584.7 | 1449.1 |
| Form Elo | 1604.8 | 1413.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.2 | 1498.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1542.7 | 1482.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1587.2 | 1408.4 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.6 | -53.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. AEP Polemidion last-5 Elo change: +8.6; AEN last-5 Elo change: -53.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 7% |
| Attack | 38% | 25% |
| Defense | 69% | 19% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 62% | 71% | 67% | 23% | 31% | 27% |
| Draws | 23% | 7% | 15% | 31% | 0% | 15% |
| Loses | 15% | 21% | 19% | 46% | 69% | 58% |
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League goals
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 21 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 12 | 22 | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AEP Polemidion | AEN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 59% | 62% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 15% | 31% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 7% | 12% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 4% | 23% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AEP Polemidion | AEN |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 90% | 10% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 72% | 28% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.3% | 24.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AEP Polemidion
vs
AEN
Expected goals
2.88
AEP Polemidion xG
League Avg: 1.45
Total
3.72
0.84
AEN xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
71.9%
Draw
12.9%
Away
8.0%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
10.1%
Tip
3 - 0
9.7%
Tip
2 - 1
8.4%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AEP Polemidion = 2.88 (league 1.45), AEN = 0.84 (league 1.15)
| AEN | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AEP Polemidion | 0 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.9% · Draw 12.9% · Away win 8.0%
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