Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9% | 5.6% | 64.8% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Krasnodar U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Away strong edge
Krasnodar U19 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 117 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Dynamo Makhachkala U19 -35.6, Krasnodar U19 +45.1.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1481.5 | 1633.9 |
| Form Elo | 1448.1 | 1660.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1489.3 | 1551 |
| Attack Elo | 1485.4 | 1893.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1479.4 | 1524.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -35.6 | +45.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Dynamo Makhachkala U19 last-5 Elo change: -35.6; Krasnodar U19 last-5 Elo change: +45.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 100% |
| Attack | 29% | 100% |
| Defense | 41% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 20% | 75% | 100% | 83% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 75% | 100% | 80% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
League goals
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 7 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 80% | 83% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 40% | 67% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 5-1 | 3-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | Krasnodar U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 21% | 79% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 24.3% | 75.8% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): Dynamo Makhachkala U19 = 0.86 (league 1.74), Krasnodar U19 = 4.32 (league 1.46)
| Krasnodar U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Dynamo Makhachkala U19 | 0 | 0.6% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.9% · Draw 5.6% · Away win 64.8%
