Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 14:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
5.60 (league 1.77)
2.89 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
best score tips
5 - 2
3.9%
5 - 3
3.8%
4 - 2
3.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Rostov U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moskva U19 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Moskva U19 +15.7, Rostov U19 -7.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Spartak Moskva U19
vs
Rostov U19
Elo gapSpartak Moskva U19 +8
Home / draw / away36% / 29% / 35%
Expected home share51%
Combined Elo3090.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3090.3
Elo home share
51%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1531.7 | 1558.6 |
| Form Elo | 1548.8 | 1548.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.9 | 1539 |
| Attack Elo | 1548.1 | 1587.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1510.1 | 1544.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.7 | -7.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Spartak Moskva U19 last-5 Elo change: +15.7; Rostov U19 last-5 Elo change: -7.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 47% | 65% |
| Defense | 65% | 29% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
63%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 67% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Spartak Moskva U19WDWLWD
Rostov U19LLLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 3-5 | 6-4 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Moskva U19 | Rostov U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Spartak Moskva U19
vs
Rostov U19
Expected goals
5.60
Spartak Moskva U19 xG
League Avg: 1.77
Total
8.49
2.89
Rostov U19 xG
League Avg: 1.47
1x2 probabilities
Home
30.6%
Draw
8.1%
Away
8.7%
Best score tips
Tip
5 - 2
3.9%
Tip
5 - 3
3.8%
Tip
4 - 2
3.5%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
63%
Chance
BTTS
76%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moskva U19 = 5.60 (league 1.77), Rostov U19 = 2.89 (league 1.47)
| Rostov U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Moskva U19 | 0 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 8.7%
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