Esiliiga A — Estonia
Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 16:00 • Kadrioru Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 2.10) 1.15 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.7% 17.4% 15.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Flora II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTallinna KalevFlora II
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack35%57%
Defense65%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

79%
FT probability

3.5+

56%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tallinna Kalev Flora II
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%0%40%67%50%60%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%40%33%50%40%
Tallinna KalevLWLDW
Flora IILLWWW

League goals

Metric Tallinna Kalev Flora II
HATHAT
GF total7189413
GF avg3.50.31.63.02.02.6
GA total2687310
GA avg1.02.01.62.31.52.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTallinna KalevFlora II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%100%80%
1.540%40%60%40%
2.520%20%60%20%
3.520%0%20%20%
4.520%0%20%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTallinna KalevFlora II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricTallinna KalevFlora II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTallinna KalevFlora II
Wins10
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—5-01-3
Biggest losses—3-01-62-1
Goals For5153
Goals Against1362

Model comparison

MetricTallinna KalevFlora II
Form44%56%
Att38%62%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h75%25%
Goals80%20%
Total59.8%40.2%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw4.10 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ William Hill
No3.10 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Betfair
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Tallinna Kalev
vs
Flora II
Esiliiga A • Estonia • Thu, Apr 16 2026 • 16:00 • Kadrioru Staadion
Expected goals
2.51
Tallinna Kalev xG League Avg: 2.10
Total
3.65
1.15
Flora II xG League Avg: 1.75
1x2 probabilities
Home
62.7%
Draw
17.4%
Away
15.5%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
9.3%
Tip
2 - 0
8.1%
Tip
3 - 1
7.8%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
79%
Chance
3.5+
56%
Chance
BTTS
90%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#TallinnaKalev #FloraIi #EsiliigaA #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Tallinna Kalev = 2.51 (league 2.10), Flora II = 1.15 (league 1.75)

Flora II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tallinna Kalev 0 2.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.5% 7.4% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.8% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.7% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 15.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1