Jeonbuk Motors II vs Dangjin Citizen

K3 League — South-Korea

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 • Venue TBA

Not Started

home	draw	away
25.7%	17.5%	48.4%

		Dangjin Citizen
Jeonbuk Motors II	0	0.8%	2.2%	3.1%	2.9%	2.1%	1.2%
1	1.6%	4.5%	6.3%	5.9%	4.2%	2.4%
2	1.6%	4.5%	6.4%	6.0%	4.3%	2.4%
3	1.1%	3.1%	4.3%	4.1%	2.9%	1.6%
4	0.5%	1.5%	2.2%	2.1%	1.5%	0.8%
5	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%

Away edge

Dangjin Citizen carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 84 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jeonbuk Motors II -7.8, Dangjin Citizen +4.2.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone

Jeonbuk Motors II Elo 1387.7 · -7.8

Dangjin Citizen Elo 1506.2 · +4.2

Elo gapDangjin Citizen +84

Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%

Expected home share38%

Combined Elo2893.9

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Away edge

Confidence band Medium confidence

Upset risk Medium

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2893.9

Elo home share 38%

Match tone Tactical Watch

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Overall Elo	1387.7	1506.2
Form Elo	1380.2	1514.4
Home / Away Elo	1469.4	1502.8
Attack Elo	1462.2	1514
Defense Elo	1389.2	1486.6
Last 5 Elo change	-7.8	+4.2

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Jeonbuk Motors II last-5 Elo change: -7.8; Dangjin Citizen last-5 Elo change: +4.2.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Played	5	5
Form	13%	47%
Attack	29%	47%
Defense	47%	47%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	9 \| 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II			Dangjin Citizen
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	2	7	0	7	7
Wins	0%	0%	0%	—	43%	43%
Draws	40%	50%	43%	—	14%	14%
Loses	60%	50%	57%	—	43%	43%

Jeonbuk Motors IILDLDLDL

Dangjin CitizenLWLLWDW

League goals

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II			Dangjin Citizen
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	8	0	8	0	10	10
GF avg	1.6	0.0	1.1	0.0	1.4	1.4
GA total	12	1	13	0	11	11
GA avg	2.4	0.5	1.9	0.0	1.6	1.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Jeonbuk Motors II		Dangjin Citizen
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	57%	86%	86%	86%
1.5	43%	71%	43%	43%
2.5	14%	29%	14%	14%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	14%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II			Dangjin Citizen
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	0	1	1
Failed to score	1	2	3	0	1	1

Penalties

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Wins	0	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	—	1-3
Biggest losses	0-2	1-0	—	4-1
Goals For	3	0	0	3
Goals Against	3	1	0	4

Model comparison

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Form	22%	78%
Att	38%	62%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	40%	60%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	37.5%	62.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Jeonbuk Motors II vs Dangjin Citizen

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Jeonbuk Motors II

Dangjin Citizen

K3 League • South-Korea • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 05:00 • Venue TBA

Expected goals

2.03

Jeonbuk Motors II xG League Avg: 1.26

Total

4.86

2.83

Dangjin Citizen xG League Avg: 1.19

1x2 probabilities

Home

25.7%

Draw

17.5%

Away

48.4%

Best score tips

Tip

2 - 2

6.4%

Tip

1 - 2

6.3%

Tip

2 - 3

6.0%

More chances

1.5+

93%

Chance

2.5+

65%

Chance

3.5+

46%

Chance

BTTS

80%

Chance

🟨 Cards

0 - 0

Exp.

#JeonbukMotorsIi #DangjinCitizen #K3League #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Jeonbuk Motors II = 2.03 (league 1.26), Dangjin Citizen = 2.83 (league 1.19)

		Dangjin Citizen
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Jeonbuk Motors II	0	0.8%	2.2%	3.1%	2.9%	2.1%	1.2%
	1	1.6%	4.5%	6.3%	5.9%	4.2%	2.4%
	2	1.6%	4.5%	6.4%	6.0%	4.3%	2.4%
	3	1.1%	3.1%	4.3%	4.1%	2.9%	1.6%
	4	0.5%	1.5%	2.2%	2.1%	1.5%	0.8%
	5	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.7% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 48.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Jeonbuk Motors II	Dangjin Citizen
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Jeonbuk Motors II vs Dangjin Citizen