Druha Liga
— Ukraine
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Kolos Stadium
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.46)
0.90 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.4% | 27.6% | 24.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Rebel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 0 | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Kolos Kovalivka II carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 115 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Kolos Kovalivka II +8.3, Rebel -6.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Kolos Kovalivka II
vs
Rebel
Elo gapKolos Kovalivka II +115
Home / draw / away54% / 18% / 28%
Expected home share66%
Combined Elo3106.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3106.9
Elo home share
66%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1593.2 | 1513.7 |
| Form Elo | 1597.2 | 1508.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1551.1 | 1524.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1632.2 | 1455.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1556.7 | 1582.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +8.3 | -6.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Kolos Kovalivka II last-5 Elo change: +8.3; Rebel last-5 Elo change: -6.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 11% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 75% | 55% | 65% | 46% | 50% | 48% |
| Draws | 17% | 27% | 22% | 23% | 25% | 24% |
| Loses | 8% | 18% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
Kolos Kovalivka IIWWWWLWDWWDWWWDWLWWWWDLD
RebelWWWLWWLWLDLWWWLDWDLDLWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 30 | 15 | 45 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 8 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 96% | 61% | 72% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 13% | 28% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 4% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kolos Kovalivka II | Rebel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Kolos Kovalivka II
vs
Rebel
Expected goals
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka II xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
2.27
0.90
Rebel xG
League Avg: 1.33
1x2 probabilities
Home
47.4%
Draw
27.6%
Away
24.7%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
14.2%
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
Tip
0 - 0
10.4%
More chances
1.5+
73%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 0
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Kolos Kovalivka II = 1.37 (league 1.46), Rebel = 0.90 (league 1.33)
| Rebel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka II | 0 | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 24.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1