Green Gully vs South Melbourne

Victoria NPL — Australia

Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 08:30 • Green Gully Reserve

Match Finished

Green Gully

0 - 1

South Melbourne

Expected Goals

0.14 (league 1.73) 2.08 (league 1.44)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
1.9%	14.3%	81.8%

best score tips

0 - 2

23.4%

0 - 1

22.4%

0 - 3

16.2%

Score & goals probability table

		South Melbourne
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Green Gully	0	10.8%	22.4%	23.4%	16.2%	8.5%	3.5%
	1	1.6%	3.2%	3.4%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
	2	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Green Gully	South Melbourne
Played	4	4
Form	8%	75%
Attack	33%	100%
Defense	0%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.5	6 \| 1.5
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2.5	3 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%

FT probability

2.5+

49%

FT probability

3.5+

35%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Green Gully			South Melbourne
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	2	2	4	2	2	4
Wins	0%	0%	0%	50%	100%	75%
Draws	50%	0%	25%	0%	0%	0%
Loses	50%	100%	75%	50%	0%	25%

Green GullyLLLD

South MelbourneWLWW

League goals

Metric	Green Gully			South Melbourne
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	1	1	2	2	4	6
GF avg	0.5	0.5	0.5	1.0	2.0	1.5
GA total	3	7	10	2	1	3
GA avg	1.5	3.5	2.5	1.0	0.5	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Green Gully		South Melbourne
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	100%	100%	50%
1.5	0%	75%	50%	25%
2.5	0%	25%	0%	0%
3.5	0%	25%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	25%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Green Gully			South Melbourne
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	1	1	2
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Green Gully	South Melbourne
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Green Gully	South Melbourne
Wins	0	1
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	1-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	5-0	1-2	—
Goals For	1	1	1	2
Goals Against	2	5	2	1

Model comparison

Metric	Green Gully	South Melbourne
Form	10%	90%
Att	25%	75%
Def	23%	77%
Poisson Distribution	9%	91%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	20.2%	79.8%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.08 @ 1xBet

Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle

Away2.45 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365

No2.34 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Green Gully vs South Melbourne

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Green Gully

South Melbourne

Victoria NPL • Australia • Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 08:30 • Green Gully Reserve

Expected goals

0.14

Green Gully xG League Avg: 1.73

Total

2.23

2.08

South Melbourne xG League Avg: 1.44

1x2 probabilities

Home

1.9%

Draw

14.3%

Away

81.8%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 2

23.4%

Tip

0 - 1

22.4%

Tip

0 - 3

16.2%

More chances

1.5+

70%

Chance

2.5+

49%

Chance

3.5+

35%

Chance

BTTS

70%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#GreenGully #SouthMelbourne #VictoriaNpl #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Green Gully = 0.14 (league 1.73), South Melbourne = 2.08 (league 1.44)

		South Melbourne
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Green Gully	0	10.8%	22.4%	23.4%	16.2%	8.5%	3.5%
	1	1.6%	3.2%	3.4%	2.4%	1.2%	0.5%
	2	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.9% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 81.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Green Gully	South Melbourne
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0