Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 0.88)
0.37 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.3% | 51.5% | 21.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.8%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mebrat Hayl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 43.8% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 0% |
| Defense | 0% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
39%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
45%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 0% | 18% | 10% | 45% | 10% | 29% |
| Draws | 50% | 45% | 48% | 45% | 50% | 48% |
| Loses | 50% | 36% | 43% | 9% | 40% | 24% |
Arba Minch KenemaDDLLDLDLDLLDDDLLLWDDW
Mebrat HaylWDWWDLWDDDWLDDWLDLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 71% | 38% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 24% | 10% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 5% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Mebrat Hayl |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 53.4% | 46.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.70 @ Bet365
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.47 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.30 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arba Minch Kenema
vs
Mebrat Hayl
Expected goals
0.46
Arba Minch Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
0.83
0.37
Mebrat Hayl xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
27.3%
Draw
51.5%
Away
21.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
43.8%
Tip
1 - 0
19.9%
Tip
0 - 1
16.2%
More chances
1.5+
39%
Chance
2.5+
28%
Chance
3.5+
20%
Chance
BTTS
45%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arba Minch Kenema = 0.46 (league 0.88), Mebrat Hayl = 0.37 (league 0.97)
| Mebrat Hayl | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 43.8% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.9% | 7.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 51.5% · Away win 21.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1