Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 0.88)
1.39 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.2% | 27.7% | 56.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.6%
0 - 0
14.1%
0 - 2
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ethiopian Medhin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 14.1% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 100% | 71% |
| Defense | 14% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Draws | 45% | 42% | 43% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 55% | 33% | 43% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
Arba Minch KenemaDDLLDLDLDLLDDDLLLWDDWLW
Ethiopian MedhinDWDLWLLDWLDLLWDDLDDLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 11 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 52% | 70% | 48% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 26% | 17% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arba Minch Kenema | Ethiopian Medhin |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 37.5% | 62.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.65 @ Marathonbet
Away2.38 @ William Hill
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.39 @ Marathonbet
No1.53 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.33 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Arba Minch Kenema
vs
Ethiopian Medhin
Expected goals
0.57
Arba Minch Kenema xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
1.96
1.39
Ethiopian Medhin xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
15.2%
Draw
27.7%
Away
56.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
19.6%
Tip
0 - 0
14.1%
Tip
0 - 2
13.6%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
56%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Arba Minch Kenema = 0.57 (league 0.88), Ethiopian Medhin = 1.39 (league 0.97)
| Ethiopian Medhin | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 14.1% | 19.6% | 13.6% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 56.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1