Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 22:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.64)
0.73 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.8% | 36.4% | 29.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.9%
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventude W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Internacional RS W | 0 | 21.9% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Internacional RS W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 55 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Internacional RS W +1.4, Juventude W -13.6.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Internacional RS W
vs
Juventude W
Elo gapInternacional RS W +55
Home / draw / away44% / 24% / 32%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo2883.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2883.9
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1451.9 | 1432 |
| Form Elo | 1449.9 | 1410.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1477.9 | 1463.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1456.9 | 1408.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1432.7 | 1449.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +1.4 | -13.6 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Internacional RS W last-5 Elo change: +1.4; Juventude W last-5 Elo change: -13.6.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 33% | 13% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 25% | 17% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 17% |
| Loses | 67% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 75% | 67% |
Internacional RS WLWDWLD
Juventude WLDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Internacional RS W | Juventude W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 50% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Internacional RS W | Juventude W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 59.3% | 40.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Internacional RS W
vs
Juventude W
Expected goals
0.79
Internacional RS W xG
League Avg: 1.64
Total
1.52
0.73
Juventude W xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
33.8%
Draw
36.4%
Away
29.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.9%
Tip
1 - 0
17.4%
Tip
0 - 1
15.9%
More chances
1.5+
58%
Chance
2.5+
41%
Chance
3.5+
29%
Chance
BTTS
66%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Internacional RS W = 0.79 (league 1.64), Juventude W = 0.73 (league 1.17)
| Juventude W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Internacional RS W | 0 | 21.9% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 29.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1