Super League
— China
Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 12:00 •
Pudong Football Stadium
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.79)
0.48 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.9% | 37.3% | 18.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
1 - 0
22.7%
0 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 0 | 25.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Chongqing Tongliang Long carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SHANGHAI SIPG +0.3, Chongqing Tongliang Long +30.4.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
SHANGHAI SIPG
vs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Elo gapChongqing Tongliang Long +21
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo3155.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3155.2
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1549.7 | 1605.5 |
| Form Elo | 1548.6 | 1632 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.8 | 1562 |
| Attack Elo | 1611.6 | 1573 |
| Defense Elo | 1482.7 | 1569.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +0.3 | +30.4 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. SHANGHAI SIPG last-5 Elo change: +0.3; Chongqing Tongliang Long last-5 Elo change: +30.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 64% | 82% |
| Defense | 55% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 33% | 75% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 25% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
SHANGHAI SIPGLWLWLD
Chongqing Tongliang LongDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 83% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 17% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | SHANGHAI SIPG | Chongqing Tongliang Long |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 41.0% | 59.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.91 @ Bet365
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.69 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.38 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
SHANGHAI SIPG
vs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Expected goals
0.90
SHANGHAI SIPG xG
League Avg: 1.79
Total
1.38
0.48
Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
43.9%
Draw
37.3%
Away
18.8%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
25.2%
Tip
1 - 0
22.7%
Tip
0 - 1
12.1%
More chances
1.5+
63%
Chance
2.5+
44%
Chance
3.5+
31%
Chance
BTTS
62%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): SHANGHAI SIPG = 0.90 (league 1.79), Chongqing Tongliang Long = 0.48 (league 1.36)
| Chongqing Tongliang Long | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| SHANGHAI SIPG | 0 | 25.2% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.2% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 18.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1