Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 06:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.70)
2.87 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 14.9% | 65.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Lions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peninsula Power | 0 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Lions carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 59 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Peninsula Power +24.4, Lions +35.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Peninsula Power
vs
Lions
Elo gapLions +59
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3199.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3199.7
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1552.9 | 1646.8 |
| Form Elo | 1567.2 | 1680.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1530.1 | 1558.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1635 | 1718.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1561.3 | 1614.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +24.4 | +35.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Peninsula Power last-5 Elo change: +24.4; Lions last-5 Elo change: +35.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 61% | 83% |
| Defense | 39% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 60% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 63% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Peninsula PowerWWDDWWLL
LionsLDWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Peninsula Power | Lions | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 75% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 13% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Peninsula Power | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 21% | 79% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 26.7% | 73.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Peninsula Power
vs
Lions
Expected goals
1.18
Peninsula Power xG
League Avg: 1.70
Total
4.05
2.87
Lions xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
12.6%
Draw
14.9%
Away
65.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 2
8.5%
Tip
1 - 3
8.1%
Tip
0 - 2
7.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
74%
Chance
3.5+
53%
Chance
BTTS
84%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Peninsula Power = 1.18 (league 1.70), Lions = 2.87 (league 1.67)
| Lions | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Peninsula Power | 0 | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 65.1%
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