Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 09:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.30 (league 1.70)
1.79 (league 1.67)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.7% | 19.9% | 29.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Rochedale Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eastern Suburbs | 0 | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Eastern Suburbs -14.9, Rochedale Rovers -12.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Eastern Suburbs
vs
Rochedale Rovers
Elo gapEastern Suburbs +15
Home / draw / away37% / 28% / 35%
Expected home share52%
Combined Elo3061.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3061.4
Elo home share
52%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1520.9 | 1540.5 |
| Form Elo | 1509.3 | 1518.3 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1498 | 1517.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1625 | 1662.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1411.1 | 1527.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -14.9 | -12.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Eastern Suburbs last-5 Elo change: -14.9; Rochedale Rovers last-5 Elo change: -12.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 33% | 60% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 67% | 40% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 63% |
Eastern SuburbsLWWLLLWW
Rochedale RoversLLLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 13% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-4 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Rochedale Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Eastern Suburbs
vs
Rochedale Rovers
Expected goals
2.30
Eastern Suburbs xG
League Avg: 1.70
Total
4.09
1.79
Rochedale Rovers xG
League Avg: 1.67
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.7%
Draw
19.9%
Away
29.4%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 1
7.9%
Tip
2 - 2
7.1%
Tip
1 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
72%
Chance
3.5+
51%
Chance
BTTS
87%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Eastern Suburbs = 2.30 (league 1.70), Rochedale Rovers = 1.79 (league 1.67)
| Rochedale Rovers | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Eastern Suburbs | 0 | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 29.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1