Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 07:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.73)
1.07 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.4% | 32.5% | 44.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 0
17.3%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Western Knights | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic Kingsway | 0 | 17.3% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Olympic Kingsway carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 174 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Olympic Kingsway +17.4, Western Knights +19.7.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Olympic Kingsway
vs
Western Knights
Elo gapOlympic Kingsway +174
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3124.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3124.8
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1631.9 | 1492.9 |
| Form Elo | 1646.6 | 1506 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1555.4 | 1492.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1684.8 | 1549.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1590.8 | 1439.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +17.4 | +19.7 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Olympic Kingsway last-5 Elo change: +17.4; Western Knights last-5 Elo change: +19.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 53% |
| Defense | 74% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Olympic KingswayWDWWWDL
Western KnightsWWDDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 57% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 43% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olympic Kingsway | Western Knights |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 91% | 9% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Olympic Kingsway
vs
Western Knights
Expected goals
0.69
Olympic Kingsway xG
League Avg: 1.73
Total
1.75
1.07
Western Knights xG
League Avg: 1.59
1x2 probabilities
Home
23.4%
Draw
32.5%
Away
44.0%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
18.4%
Tip
0 - 0
17.3%
Tip
1 - 1
12.7%
More chances
1.5+
79%
Chance
2.5+
56%
Chance
3.5+
40%
Chance
BTTS
63%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Olympic Kingsway = 0.69 (league 1.73), Western Knights = 1.07 (league 1.59)
| Western Knights | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olympic Kingsway | 0 | 17.3% | 18.4% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 44.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1