Super Liga
— Slovakia
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 17:00 •
City Arena Trnava
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.57)
1.55 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.2% | 25.1% | 45.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Slovan Bratislava | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Trnava | 0 | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Slovan Bratislava carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 26 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Spartak Trnava -17.6, Slovan Bratislava +17.7.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Spartak Trnava
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Elo gapSlovan Bratislava +26
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo3240.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3240.3
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Must Watch
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1589.5 | 1650.8 |
| Form Elo | 1593.9 | 1658.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1533.5 | 1578.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1701.6 | 1758.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1555.3 | 1611.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.6 | +17.7 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Spartak Trnava last-5 Elo change: -17.6; Slovan Bratislava last-5 Elo change: +17.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 67% | 53% |
| Defense | 73% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 62% | 43% | 52% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Draws | 8% | 29% | 19% | 7% | 29% | 18% |
| Loses | 31% | 29% | 30% | 29% | 7% | 18% |
Spartak TrnavaWWWWLWLDLDWWLWWWLWDDLLWLWDW
Slovan BratislavaDWWDWDWWWLWWWWWLLWWLDWWLWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 23 | 45 | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 19 | 32 | 19 | 15 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 63% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 30% | 68% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 15% | 46% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Spartak Trnava | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 42.5% | 57.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Spartak Trnava
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Expected goals
1.19
Spartak Trnava xG
League Avg: 1.57
Total
2.74
1.55
Slovan Bratislava xG
League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.2%
Draw
25.1%
Away
45.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.9%
Tip
0 - 1
10.0%
Tip
1 - 2
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
68%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Spartak Trnava = 1.24 (league 1.51), Slovan Bratislava = 1.54 (league 1.36)
| Slovan Bratislava | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Spartak Trnava | 0 | 6.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 43.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1