Mon, Mar 16 2026 • 20:00 •
Jardines Del Hipódromo
Expected Goals
3.53 (league 1.13)
1.59 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.1%
2 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Juventud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Danubio | 0 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 27% |
| Attack | 75% | 75% |
| Defense | 13% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
DanubioWWLDD
JuventudLDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Danubio | Juventud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.99 @ 188Bet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Danubio
vs
Juventud
Expected goals
3.53
Danubio xG
League Avg: 1.13
Total
5.12
1.59
Juventud xG
League Avg: 0.94
1x2 probabilities
Home
59.2%
Draw
12.9%
Away
12.8%
Best score tips
Tip
3 - 1
7.0%
Tip
4 - 1
6.1%
Tip
2 - 1
5.9%
More chances
1.5+
84%
Chance
2.5+
59%
Chance
3.5+
42%
Chance
BTTS
77%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Danubio = 3.54 (league 1.13), Juventud = 1.60 (league 0.94)
| Juventud | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Danubio | 0 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.1% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 12.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1