Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 13:00 •
Metallurg Stadium
Expected Goals
0.42 (league 1.43)
12.79 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.2% |
best score tips
0 - 5
0.5%
1 - 5
0.2%
0 - 4
0.2%
Score & goals probability table
| CSKA Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Krylya Sovetov W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
CSKA Moskva W carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 126 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Krylya Sovetov W -6.2, CSKA Moskva W +25.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Krylya Sovetov W
vs
CSKA Moskva W
Elo gapCSKA Moskva W +126
Home / draw / away27% / 18% / 55%
Expected home share33%
Combined Elo3190.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3190.4
Elo home share
33%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.6 | 1675.8 |
| Form Elo | 1503.2 | 1703.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1531.3 | 1582 |
| Attack Elo | 1422.9 | 1740.6 |
| Defense Elo | 1500.5 | 1678.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -6.2 | +25.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Krylya Sovetov W last-5 Elo change: -6.2; CSKA Moskva W last-5 Elo change: +25.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 100% |
| Attack | 25% | 81% |
| Defense | 38% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 13 | 3.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
8.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Krylya Sovetov WWLWL
CSKA Moskva WWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 6.0 | 3.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Krylya Sovetov W | CSKA Moskva W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 24% | 76% |
| Def | 9% | 91% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 18.3% | 81.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Krylya Sovetov W
vs
CSKA Moskva W
Expected goals
0.42
Krylya Sovetov W xG
League Avg: 1.43
Total
13.22
12.79
CSKA Moskva W xG
League Avg: 1.17
1x2 probabilities
Home
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Away
1.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 5
0.5%
Tip
1 - 5
0.2%
Tip
0 - 4
0.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
76%
Chance
3.5+
54%
Chance
BTTS
60%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Krylya Sovetov W = 0.42 (league 1.43), CSKA Moskva W = 12.79 (league 1.17)
| CSKA Moskva W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Krylya Sovetov W | 0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 1.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1