Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 19:00 •
Stade de la Meinau
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.19)
0.78 (league 1.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.3% | 33.3% | 28.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
16.9%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Nice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strasbourg | 0 | 17.5% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Strasbourg carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 172 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Strasbourg +15.9, Nice +26.4.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Strasbourg
vs
Nice
Elo gapStrasbourg +172
Home / draw / away60% / 18% / 22%
Expected home share73%
Combined Elo3082.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3082.3
Elo home share
73%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1609.8 | 1472.5 |
| Form Elo | 1645.7 | 1501.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1551 | 1470.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1603.5 | 1481.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1581.9 | 1450.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.9 | +26.4 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Strasbourg last-5 Elo change: +15.9; Nice last-5 Elo change: +26.4.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 72% | 44% |
| Defense | 83% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 3.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
StrasbourgWWWW
NiceWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Strasbourg | Nice | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-6 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Strasbourg | Nice |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ 1xBet
Away4.65 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Strasbourg
vs
Nice
Expected goals
0.96
Strasbourg xG
League Avg: 1.19
Total
1.74
0.78
Nice xG
League Avg: 1.92
1x2 probabilities
Home
38.3%
Draw
33.3%
Away
28.3%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
17.5%
Tip
1 - 0
16.9%
Tip
0 - 1
13.7%
More chances
1.5+
89%
Chance
2.5+
62%
Chance
3.5+
44%
Chance
BTTS
82%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 2
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 0.96 (league 1.19), Nice = 0.78 (league 1.92)
| Nice | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Strasbourg | 0 | 17.5% | 13.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 28.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1