Iraqi League — Iraq
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.19) 1.62 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.1% 23.9% 64.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najaf 0 11.9% 19.3% 15.7% 8.5% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.0% 9.8% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl NajafMosul
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack20%30%
Defense20%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Najaf Mosul
HATHAT
Played10122291120
Wins10%8%9%22%36%30%
Draws20%8%14%11%36%25%
Loses70%83%77%67%27%45%

Form: Al Najaf: LLLLWWLLDLLLLLLLDLLLLD • Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Al Najaf Mosul
HATHAT
GF total681471219
GF avg0.60.70.60.81.11.0
GA total162339151126
GA avg1.61.91.81.71.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl NajafMosul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%86%55%80%
1.514%64%30%35%
2.50%18%10%15%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl NajafMosul
HATHAT
Clean sheets213044
Failed to score5611459

Penalties

MetricAl NajafMosul
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricAl NajafMosul
Wins22
Draws13
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-21-33-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricAl NajafMosul
Form17%83%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total30.4%69.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mosul and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Najaf = 0.50 (league 1.19), Mosul = 1.62 (league 1.08)

Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Najaf 0 11.9% 19.3% 15.7% 8.5% 3.4% 1.1%
1 6.0% 9.8% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6%
2 1.5% 2.5% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 64.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1