Iraqi League
— Iraq
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.19)
1.62 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1% | 23.9% | 64.4% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.3%
0 - 2
15.7%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mosul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Najaf | 0 | 11.9% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 33% |
| Attack | 20% | 30% |
| Defense | 20% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 12 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| Wins | 10% | 8% | 9% | 22% | 36% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 36% | 25% |
| Loses | 70% | 83% | 77% | 67% | 27% | 45% |
Form: Al Najaf: LLLLWWLLDLLLLLLLDLLLLD • Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWLLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 23 | 39 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Al Najaf | Mosul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 86% | 55% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 64% | 30% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 10% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-2 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Al Najaf | Mosul |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 30.4% | 69.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mosul and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Al Najaf = 0.50 (league 1.19), Mosul = 1.62 (league 1.08)
| Mosul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Al Najaf | 0 | 11.9% | 19.3% | 15.7% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.1% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 64.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1
