Premier League
— Egypt
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 15:00 •
Borg El Arab Stadium
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.08)
1.41 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.0% | 25.2% | 37.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 1
8.4%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Enppi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AL Masry | 0 | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
AL Masry carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: AL Masry -27.8, Enppi +21.7.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
AL Masry
vs
Enppi
Elo gapAL Masry +57
Home / draw / away44% / 23% / 33%
Expected home share58%
Combined Elo3149
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3149
Elo home share
58%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1585.6 | 1563.4 |
| Form Elo | 1573.8 | 1579 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1554.6 | 1520.1 |
| Attack Elo | 1530.5 | 1450.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1595 | 1618.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -27.8 | +21.7 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. AL Masry last-5 Elo change: -27.8; Enppi last-5 Elo change: +21.7.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 18% | 36% | 45% | 27% | 36% |
| Draws | 27% | 55% | 41% | 36% | 55% | 45% |
| Loses | 18% | 27% | 23% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
AL MasryWWDDWLWDLWDDWDDDWLWLLD
EnppiDWLDWDDWDWDDLDLDLWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 10 | 31 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AL Masry | Enppi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 64% | 73% | 55% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 27% | 23% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 18% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AL Masry | Enppi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Betfair
Away4.25 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
AL Masry
vs
Enppi
Expected goals
1.41
AL Masry xG
League Avg: 1.08
Total
2.82
1.41
Enppi xG
League Avg: 1.01
1x2 probabilities
Home
37.0%
Draw
25.2%
Away
37.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.8%
Tip
0 - 1
8.4%
Tip
1 - 2
8.4%
More chances
1.5+
67%
Chance
2.5+
47%
Chance
3.5+
34%
Chance
BTTS
64%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): AL Masry = 1.41 (league 1.08), Enppi = 1.41 (league 1.01)
| Enppi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AL Masry | 0 | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.0% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 37.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1