Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 0.88)
0.66 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.4% | 38.7% | 28.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Hadiya Hosaena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Negelle Arsi | 0 | 25.3% | 16.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 42% |
| Defense | 58% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 43% | 41% | 14% | 46% | 30% |
| Draws | 38% | 36% | 37% | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Loses | 23% | 21% | 22% | 50% | 23% | 37% |
Negelle ArsiDLLDDWWDWLWWWWDLWWWDLDDLWDD
Hadiya HosaenaLDDLDWDLLWWWLDWLLDWLWDDLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 14 | 26 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 9 | 29 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 56% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 15% | 15% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Negelle Arsi | Hadiya Hosaena |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.13 @ Dafabet
Draw3.18 @ Pinnacle
Away3.70 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.38 @ BetVictor
No1.55 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.90 @ BetVictor
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Negelle Arsi
vs
Hadiya Hosaena
Expected goals
0.72
Negelle Arsi xG
League Avg: 0.88
Total
1.37
0.66
Hadiya Hosaena xG
League Avg: 0.97
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.4%
Draw
38.7%
Away
28.9%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
25.3%
Tip
1 - 0
18.1%
Tip
0 - 1
16.6%
More chances
1.5+
49%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
58%
Chance
🟨 Cards
0 - 1
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Negelle Arsi = 0.72 (league 0.88), Hadiya Hosaena = 0.66 (league 0.97)
| Hadiya Hosaena | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Negelle Arsi | 0 | 25.3% | 16.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.1% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.4% · Draw 38.7% · Away win 28.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1