Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.46)
1.98 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.6% | 21.7% | 46.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
9.0%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Metalul Buzău | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gloria Bistriţa | 0 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Gloria Bistriţa +9.4, Metalul Buzău +25.5.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Gloria Bistriţa
vs
Metalul Buzău
Elo gapMetalul Buzău +12
Home / draw / away34% / 29% / 37%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3088.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3088.6
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1520.8 | 1567.8 |
| Form Elo | 1508 | 1574.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1508.7 | 1535.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1565.6 | 1656.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1517.4 | 1499.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +9.4 | +25.5 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Gloria Bistriţa last-5 Elo change: +9.4; Metalul Buzău last-5 Elo change: +25.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 42% | 23% | 32% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
| Draws | 17% | 31% | 24% | 15% | 0% | 8% |
| Loses | 42% | 46% | 44% | 31% | 42% | 36% |
Gloria BistriţaDDLDLWLLLWDLLLLWWWDWWLWLD
Metalul BuzăuLDWLWWLLWWWWWDLWLLLLWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 15 | 34 | 21 | 23 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 12 | 17 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 72% | 80% | 76% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 40% | 48% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 16% | 28% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 20% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 5-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gloria Bistriţa | Metalul Buzău |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 32% | 68% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Gloria Bistriţa
vs
Metalul Buzău
Expected goals
1.53
Gloria Bistriţa xG
League Avg: 1.46
Total
3.51
1.98
Metalul Buzău xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.6%
Draw
21.7%
Away
46.6%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.1%
Tip
1 - 2
9.0%
Tip
2 - 1
6.9%
More chances
1.5+
85%
Chance
2.5+
60%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
74%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Gloria Bistriţa = 1.50 (league 1.49), Metalul Buzău = 1.97 (league 1.16)
| Metalul Buzău | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gloria Bistriţa | 0 | 3.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 47.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1