Cup
— Luxembourg
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 •
Stade Emile Mayrisch
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.68)
1.63 (league 2.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.0% | 24.3% | 45.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Rodange 91 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fola Esch | 0 | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Rodange 91 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 31 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Fola Esch +29.9, Rodange 91 +29.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Fola Esch
vs
Rodange 91
Elo gapRodange 91 +31
Home / draw / away34% / 26% / 40%
Expected home share46%
Combined Elo2929.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2929.4
Elo home share
46%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1431.7 | 1497.7 |
| Form Elo | 1497.1 | 1563.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1456.9 | 1516.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1464.9 | 1473.9 |
| Defense Elo | 1369 | 1465.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +29.9 | +29.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Fola Esch last-5 Elo change: +29.9; Rodange 91 last-5 Elo change: +29.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 85% | 85% |
| Defense | 69% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 3.7 | 11 | 3.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
Fola EschWWW
Rodange 91WWW
League goals
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 11 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 33% | 100% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 0% | 67% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | — | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fola Esch | Rodange 91 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 54% | 46% |
| Total | 46.2% | 53.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Fola Esch
vs
Rodange 91
Expected goals
1.25
Fola Esch xG
League Avg: 1.68
Total
2.88
1.63
Rodange 91 xG
League Avg: 2.26
1x2 probabilities
Home
29.0%
Draw
24.3%
Away
45.8%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
11.4%
Tip
1 - 2
9.3%
Tip
0 - 1
9.2%
More chances
1.5+
95%
Chance
2.5+
85%
Chance
3.5+
64%
Chance
BTTS
84%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Fola Esch = 1.25 (league 1.68), Rodange 91 = 1.63 (league 2.26)
| Rodange 91 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fola Esch | 0 | 5.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 45.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1