Fakel vs Rodina Moskva

First League — Russia

Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 16:45 • Fakel Stadium

Match Finished

Fakel

1 - 3

Rodina Moskva

Expected Goals

1.12 (league 1.25) 0.28 (league 1.06)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
57.7%	32.9%	9.2%

best score tips

1 - 0

27.6%

0 - 0

24.5%

2 - 0

15.5%

Score & goals probability table

		Rodina Moskva
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Fakel	0	24.5%	6.9%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.6%	7.8%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	15.5%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	5.8%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Fakel	Rodina Moskva
Played	5	5
Form	53%	87%
Attack	50%	100%
Defense	75%	25%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	15 \| 3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

55%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Fakel			Rodina Moskva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	14	27	14	13	27
Wins	77%	57%	67%	57%	46%	52%
Draws	23%	14%	19%	36%	38%	37%
Loses	0%	29%	15%	7%	15%	11%

FakelWWWWWWLDWLDDWWWLWWWWWWDLDWW

Rodina MoskvaDLLDDDWWWWLWDWWDWDWDDWWDWWW

League goals

Metric	Fakel			Rodina Moskva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	18	16	34	25	20	45
GF avg	1.4	1.1	1.3	1.8	1.5	1.7
GA total	3	10	13	10	13	23
GA avg	0.2	0.7	0.5	0.7	1.0	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Fakel		Rodina Moskva
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	74%	37%	78%	56%
1.5	33%	11%	56%	19%
2.5	11%	0%	19%	7%
3.5	7%	0%	7%	4%
4.5	0%	0%	7%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Fakel			Rodina Moskva
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	11	6	17	7	5	12
Failed to score	3	4	7	2	4	6

Penalties

Metric	Fakel	Rodina Moskva
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	4

Streaks

Metric	Fakel	Rodina Moskva
Wins	6	4
Draws	2	3
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	0-4	5-2	1-5
Biggest losses	—	2-0	1-3	4-0
Goals For	4	4	5	5
Goals Against	2	2	3	4

Model comparison

Metric	Fakel	Rodina Moskva
Form	38%	62%
Att	21%	79%
Def	75%	25%
Poisson Distribution	76%	24%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	52.5%	47.5%

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ Pinnacle

Draw3.10 @ 188Bet

Away4.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle

Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Marathonbet

No1.76 @ 188Bet

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Fakel vs Rodina Moskva

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Fakel

Rodina Moskva

First League • Russia • Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 16:45 • Fakel Stadium

Expected goals

1.12

Fakel xG League Avg: 1.25

Total

1.41

0.28

Rodina Moskva xG League Avg: 1.06

1x2 probabilities

Home

57.7%

Draw

32.9%

Away

9.2%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

27.6%

Tip

0 - 0

24.5%

Tip

2 - 0

15.5%

More chances

1.5+

61%

Chance

2.5+

43%

Chance

3.5+

30%

Chance

BTTS

55%

Chance

🟨 Cards

2 - 4

Exp.

#Fakel #RodinaMoskva #FirstLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Fakel = 1.12 (league 1.25), Rodina Moskva = 0.28 (league 1.06)

		Rodina Moskva
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Fakel	0	24.5%	6.9%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	27.6%	7.8%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	15.5%	4.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	5.8%	1.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.6%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 9.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Fakel	Rodina Moskva
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	4