Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:00 •
Chayka Central Stadium
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.34)
1.44 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.4% | 27.0% | 53.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| PSK Dinskaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Chayka 2 | 0 | 11.3% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: FK Chayka 2 -35.7, PSK Dinskaya +15.3.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
FK Chayka 2
vs
PSK Dinskaya
Elo gapPSK Dinskaya +15
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo2978.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2978.2
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1464.3 | 1513.9 |
| Form Elo | 1426.1 | 1536.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1491.5 | 1498.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1465.9 | 1508.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1498.6 | 1477.6 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -35.7 | +15.3 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. FK Chayka 2 last-5 Elo change: -35.7; PSK Dinskaya last-5 Elo change: +15.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 75% |
| Attack | 14% | 100% |
| Defense | 29% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
FK Chayka 2LLDL
PSK DinskayaLWWW
League goals
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 100% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 75% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | FK Chayka 2 | PSK Dinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 10% | 90% |
| Att | 11% | 89% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 28.0% | 72.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
FK Chayka 2
vs
PSK Dinskaya
Expected goals
0.75
FK Chayka 2 xG
League Avg: 1.34
Total
2.18
1.44
PSK Dinskaya xG
League Avg: 1.04
1x2 probabilities
Home
19.4%
Draw
27.0%
Away
53.2%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 1
16.2%
Tip
1 - 1
12.1%
Tip
0 - 2
11.6%
More chances
1.5+
72%
Chance
2.5+
51%
Chance
3.5+
36%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): FK Chayka 2 = 0.75 (league 1.34), PSK Dinskaya = 1.44 (league 1.04)
| PSK Dinskaya | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| FK Chayka 2 | 0 | 11.3% | 16.2% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 53.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1