Copa Do Brasil — Brazil
Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Not Started

Santos

—

Coritiba

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 0.98) 0.05 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Coritiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Coritiba carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 79 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Santos 0.0, Coritiba 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Santos Elo 1493.3 · 0.0
vs
Coritiba Elo 1607.1 · 0.0
Elo gapCoritiba +79
Home / draw / away31% / 21% / 48%
Expected home share39%
Combined Elo3100.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3100.4
Elo home share 39%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Santos Coritiba
Overall Elo1493.31607.1
Form Elo1493.31607.1
Home / Away Elo1493.51544
Attack Elo1492.91487.3
Defense Elo1525.51652.4
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Santos last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Coritiba last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantosCoritiba
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santos Coritiba
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Santos Coritiba
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantosCoritiba
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantosCoritiba
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSantosCoritiba
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSantosCoritiba
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricSantosCoritiba
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total88.0%12.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Unibet
Draw3.70 @ Dafabet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Santos vs Coritiba
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Santos
vs
Coritiba
Copa Do Brasil • Brazil • Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Expected goals
0.05
Santos xG League Avg: 0.98
Total
0.10
0.05
Coritiba xG League Avg: 0.81
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.6%
Draw
90.7%
Away
4.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
90.5%
Tip
0 - 1
4.5%
Tip
1 - 0
4.5%
More chances
1.5+
0%
Chance
2.5+
0%
Chance
3.5+
0%
Chance
BTTS
0%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Santos #Coritiba #CopaDoBrasil #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Santos = 0.05 (league 0.98), Coritiba = 0.05 (league 0.81)

Coritiba
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santos 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1