Copa Do Brasil — Brazil
Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 00:30 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Flamengo

—

Vitoria

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 0.98) 0.05 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Flamengo carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 154 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Flamengo 0.0, Vitoria 0.0.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Flamengo Elo 1713.2 · 0.0
vs
Vitoria Elo 1593.9 · 0.0
Elo gapFlamengo +154
Home / draw / away58% / 18% / 24%
Expected home share71%
Combined Elo3307.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3307.1
Elo home share 71%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Flamengo Vitoria
Overall Elo1713.21593.9
Form Elo1713.21593.9
Home / Away Elo1616.51494.3
Attack Elo1813.31524.3
Defense Elo17201566.1
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Flamengo last-5 Elo change: 0.0; Vitoria last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo Vitoria
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Flamengo Vitoria
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengoVitoria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengoVitoria
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricFlamengoVitoria
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals76%24%
Total84.5%15.5%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Unibet
Draw6.00 @ Dafabet
Away13.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.45 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Betano
No1.75 @ Unibet
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Flamengo vs Vitoria
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Flamengo
vs
Vitoria
Copa Do Brasil • Brazil • Thu, Apr 23 2026 • 00:30 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.05
Flamengo xG League Avg: 0.98
Total
0.10
0.05
Vitoria xG League Avg: 0.81
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.6%
Draw
90.7%
Away
4.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
90.5%
Tip
0 - 1
4.5%
Tip
1 - 0
4.5%
More chances
1.5+
0%
Chance
2.5+
0%
Chance
3.5+
0%
Chance
BTTS
0%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#Flamengo #Vitoria #CopaDoBrasil #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo = 0.05 (league 1.00), Vitoria = 0.05 (league 0.81)

Vitoria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1