Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 22:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 2.00)
0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 30.0% | 12.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.6%
0 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Guabirá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Potosí | 0 | 18.8% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Real Potosí carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 45 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Real Potosí -7.6, Guabirá -4.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Real Potosí
vs
Guabirá
Elo gapReal Potosí +45
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3114.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3114.3
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1562.2 | 1552.1 |
| Form Elo | 1545.7 | 1530 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1545.6 | 1464.2 |
| Attack Elo | 1534.5 | 1579.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1597.2 | 1344.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -7.6 | -4.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Real Potosí last-5 Elo change: -7.6; Guabirá last-5 Elo change: -4.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 33% | 17% |
| Attack | 6% | 13% |
| Defense | 94% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 7 | 3.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Real PotosíDD
GuabiráLD
League goals
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Real Potosí | Guabirá | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Real Potosí | Guabirá |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 15% | 85% |
| Total | 44.6% | 55.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Dafabet
Away3.85 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Real Potosí
vs
Guabirá
Expected goals
1.25
Real Potosí xG
League Avg: 2.00
Total
1.67
0.42
Guabirá xG
League Avg: 1.20
1x2 probabilities
Home
57.4%
Draw
30.0%
Away
12.3%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
23.6%
Tip
0 - 0
18.8%
Tip
2 - 0
14.8%
More chances
1.5+
75%
Chance
2.5+
53%
Chance
3.5+
38%
Chance
BTTS
46%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Real Potosí = 1.25 (league 2.00), Guabirá = 0.42 (league 1.20)
| Guabirá | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Real Potosí | 0 | 18.8% | 7.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 9.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.8% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 12.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1