Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 14:00 •
Metlaoui Municipal stadium
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.12)
0.77 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.6% | 36.0% | 31.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.2%
1 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Metlaoui | 0 | 20.0% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 40% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 11% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| Wins | 25% | 25% | 25% | 46% | 20% | 35% |
| Draws | 75% | 17% | 46% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| Loses | 0% | 58% | 29% | 46% | 80% | 61% |
ES MetlaouiDWWLDLWLDWWLDDWDDLDLDLDD
AS MarsaLWLDLWLLWLLWLWLLWLLWLLW
League goals
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 16 | 23 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 46% | 50% | 48% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 33% | 17% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-6 |
| Biggest losses | — | 5-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ES Metlaoui | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.37 @ 188Bet
Draw2.85 @ Dafabet
Away4.40 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.53.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.37 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.52 @ 188Bet
No1.56 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
ES Metlaoui
vs
AS Marsa
Expected goals
0.79
ES Metlaoui xG
League Avg: 1.12
Total
1.55
0.77
AS Marsa xG
League Avg: 0.78
1x2 probabilities
Home
32.6%
Draw
36.0%
Away
31.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
21.2%
Tip
1 - 0
16.7%
Tip
0 - 1
16.2%
More chances
1.5+
50%
Chance
2.5+
35%
Chance
3.5+
25%
Chance
BTTS
50%
Chance
🟨 Cards
1 - 3
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): ES Metlaoui = 0.79 (league 1.11), AS Marsa = 0.82 (league 0.73)
| AS Marsa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ES Metlaoui | 0 | 20.0% | 16.4% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 33.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1