Ligue 1 — Tunisia
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 • Stade Chedly Zouiten
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.12) 0.61 (league 0.78)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.7% 25.9% 15.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
AS Soliman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane +11.2, AS Soliman -1.1.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane Elo 1469.4 · +11.2
vs
AS Soliman Elo 1422.4 · -1.1
Elo gapJeunesse Sportive Omrane +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2891.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2891.8
Elo home share 62%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
Overall Elo1469.41422.4
Form Elo1470.61411.5
Home / Away Elo1516.21455.3
Attack Elo13971347
Defense Elo1497.71506.1
Last 5 Elo change+11.2-1.1

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane last-5 Elo change: +11.2; AS Soliman last-5 Elo change: -1.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack44%22%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins67%8%36%15%8%12%
Draws17%23%20%38%25%32%
Loses17%69%44%46%67%56%
Jeunesse Sportive OmraneWLWLDLDWLWDDLLLLWLWWLWWDL
AS SolimanLLDLWLLWDLDDLDLDDLLLLLWLD

League goals

Metric Jeunesse Sportive Omrane AS Soliman
HATHAT
GF total154194711
GF avg1.30.30.80.30.60.4
GA total91726121527
GA avg0.81.31.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%64%32%76%
1.528%24%8%28%
2.54%12%4%4%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
HATHAT
Clean sheets549606
Failed to score410149817

Penalties

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Wins21
Draws22
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-21-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-00-32-0
Goals For3213
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricJeunesse Sportive OmraneAS Soliman
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals0%100%
Total57.2%42.8%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
vs
AS Soliman
Ligue 1 • Tunisia • Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:30 • Stade Chedly Zouiten
Expected goals
1.51
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane xG League Avg: 1.12
Total
2.12
0.61
AS Soliman xG League Avg: 0.78
1x2 probabilities
Home
58.7%
Draw
25.9%
Away
15.0%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
18.1%
Tip
2 - 0
13.7%
Tip
0 - 0
12.0%
More chances
1.5+
52%
Chance
2.5+
37%
Chance
3.5+
26%
Chance
BTTS
55%
Chance
🟨 Cards
2 - 4
Exp.
#JeunesseSportiveOmrane #AsSoliman #Ligue1 #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Jeunesse Sportive Omrane = 1.51 (league 1.12), AS Soliman = 0.61 (league 0.78)

AS Soliman
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 12.0% 7.3% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.7% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 15.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1