Expected Goals
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.2% | 39.4% | 36.4% |
best score tips
Score & goals probability table
| Chapecoense U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CRB U20 | 0 | 26.8% | 20.3% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Away edge
Chapecoense U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CRB U20 +5.7, Chapecoense U20 -10.3.
Deep Elo analysisOpen
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1466.7 | 1567.2 |
| Form Elo | 1472.1 | 1520.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1510.7 | 1553.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1490 | 1602.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1500.3 | 1561.9 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +5.7 | -10.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. CRB U20 last-5 Elo change: +5.7; Chapecoense U20 last-5 Elo change: -10.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 50% | 0% |
| Attack | 6% | 12% |
| Defense | 88% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.5+
2.5+
3.5+
BTTS
Yellow Cards
League fixtures
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
League goals
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CRB U20 | Chapecoense U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
League standings
Expected goals (λ): CRB U20 = 0.56 (league 1.79), Chapecoense U20 = 0.76 (league 1.32)
| Chapecoense U20 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CRB U20 | 0 | 26.8% | 20.3% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 36.4%
