Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.79) 0.76 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 39.4% 36.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.8%
0 - 1
20.3%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Chapecoense U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
CRB U20 0 26.8% 20.3% 7.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Away edge

Chapecoense U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 66 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: CRB U20 +5.7, Chapecoense U20 -10.3.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
CRB U20 Elo 1466.7 · +5.7
vs
Chapecoense U20 Elo 1567.2 · -10.3
Elo gapChapecoense U20 +66
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share41%
Combined Elo3033.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Away edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3033.9
Elo home share 41%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric CRB U20 Chapecoense U20
Overall Elo1466.71567.2
Form Elo1472.11520.9
Home / Away Elo1510.71553.6
Attack Elo14901602.1
Defense Elo1500.31561.9
Last 5 Elo change+5.7-10.3

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. CRB U20 last-5 Elo change: +5.7; Chapecoense U20 last-5 Elo change: -10.3.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCRB U20Chapecoense U20
Played22
Form50%0%
Attack6%12%
Defense88%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 14 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CRB U20 Chapecoense U20
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%100%100%
CRB U20WL
Chapecoense U20LL

League goals

Metric CRB U20 Chapecoense U20
HATHAT
GF total101202
GF avg1.00.00.52.00.01.0
GA total022314
GA avg0.02.01.03.01.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCRB U20Chapecoense U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%100%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCRB U20Chapecoense U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCRB U20Chapecoense U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCRB U20Chapecoense U20
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0———
Biggest losses—2-02-31-0
Goals For1020
Goals Against0231

Model comparison

MetricCRB U20Chapecoense U20
Form100%0%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

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footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

CRB U20
vs
Chapecoense U20
Brasileiro U20 B • Brazil • Wed, Apr 22 2026 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.56
CRB U20 xG League Avg: 1.79
Total
1.32
0.76
Chapecoense U20 xG League Avg: 1.32
1x2 probabilities
Home
24.2%
Draw
39.4%
Away
36.4%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
26.8%
Tip
0 - 1
20.3%
Tip
1 - 0
15.0%
More chances
1.5+
46%
Chance
2.5+
33%
Chance
3.5+
23%
Chance
BTTS
52%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#CrbU20 #ChapecoenseU20 #BrasileiroU20B #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): CRB U20 = 0.56 (league 1.79), Chapecoense U20 = 0.76 (league 1.32)

Chapecoense U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
CRB U20 0 26.8% 20.3% 7.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 11.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 39.4% · Away win 36.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1