Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.27)
0.31 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5% | 27.0% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.3%
0 - 0
18.2%
2 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Nrb Beni Oulbene | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Teleghma | 0 | 18.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.3% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Teleghma carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 85 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Teleghma -2.1, Nrb Beni Oulbene +21.0.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Teleghma
vs
Nrb Beni Oulbene
Elo gapTeleghma +85
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2959
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2959
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1504.6 | 1454.4 |
| Form Elo | 1498.8 | 1451.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1521.9 | 1452 |
| Attack Elo | 1452.9 | 1402.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1589.3 | 1527.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -2.1 | +21.0 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Teleghma last-5 Elo change: -2.1; Nrb Beni Oulbene last-5 Elo change: +21.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 8% | 33% |
| Defense | 8% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 46% | 21% | 33% | 57% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 38% | 21% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 26% |
| Loses | 15% | 57% | 37% | 14% | 77% | 44% |
TeleghmaDWWLDWWLWDDDDWLLDWWDWLLLLLL
Nrb Beni OulbeneDDWLWLLLDLWLDDDLWLWLWLWLLDW
League goals
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 18 | 5 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 8 | 21 | 29 | 12 | 21 | 33 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 63% | 59% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 19% | 26% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 11% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Teleghma | Nrb Beni Oulbene |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Teleghma
vs
Nrb Beni Oulbene
Expected goals
1.39
Teleghma xG
League Avg: 1.27
Total
1.70
0.31
Nrb Beni Oulbene xG
League Avg: 0.77
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.5%
Draw
27.0%
Away
8.2%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
25.3%
Tip
0 - 0
18.2%
Tip
2 - 0
17.6%
More chances
1.5+
56%
Chance
2.5+
40%
Chance
3.5+
28%
Chance
BTTS
52%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Teleghma = 1.39 (league 1.27), Nrb Beni Oulbene = 0.31 (league 0.77)
| Nrb Beni Oulbene | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Teleghma | 0 | 18.2% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.3% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 5.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.5% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 8.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1