Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.91)
1.31 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.4% | 26.1% | 36.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Săcele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Urban Titu | 0 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Urban Titu -16.8, Săcele +16.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Urban Titu
vs
Săcele
Elo gapSăcele +9
Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%
Expected home share49%
Combined Elo2980.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2980.3
Elo home share
49%
Match tone
Strong Watch
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1468.1 | 1512.2 |
| Form Elo | 1458.3 | 1522.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1513 | 1484.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1452.9 | 1522.5 |
| Defense Elo | 1399.8 | 1492.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -16.8 | +16.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Urban Titu last-5 Elo change: -16.8; Săcele last-5 Elo change: +16.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 44% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 33% | 46% | 17% | 32% |
| Draws | 17% | 25% | 21% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 33% | 58% | 46% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
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SăceleDLDLDWLLWLWWLWLLLDLWWLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 10 | 30 | 19 | 12 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 20 | 23 | 43 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Urban Titu | Săcele | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 68% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 58% | 40% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 29% | 16% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Urban Titu | Săcele |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 15% | 85% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 47.2% | 52.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Urban Titu = 1.34 (league 1.91), Săcele = 1.31 (league 1.30)
| Săcele | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Urban Titu | 0 | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 36.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1
