Copa Ecuador — Ecuador
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 23:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started

Independiente Azogues

—

LDU Portoviejo

Expected Goals
0.05 (league 0.95) 0.05 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.6% 90.7% 4.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
90.5%
0 - 1
4.5%
1 - 0
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
LDU Portoviejo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Azogues 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Independiente Azogues carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 81 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Independiente Azogues 0.0, LDU Portoviejo 0.0.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Independiente Azogues Elo 1500 · 0.0
vs
LDU Portoviejo Elo 1454.1 · 0.0
Elo gapIndependiente Azogues +81
Home / draw / away48% / 21% / 31%
Expected home share61%
Combined Elo2954.1
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2954.1
Elo home share 61%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Independiente Azogues LDU Portoviejo
Overall Elo15001454.1
Form Elo15001454.1
Home / Away Elo15001473.7
Attack Elo15001439.4
Defense Elo15001491.5
Last 5 Elo change0.00.0

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Independiente Azogues last-5 Elo change: 0.0; LDU Portoviejo last-5 Elo change: 0.0.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
Played00
Form0%0%
Attack0%0%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 00 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

0%
FT probability

2.5+

0%
FT probability

3.5+

0%
FT probability

BTTS

0%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

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Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Azogues LDU Portoviejo
HATHAT
Played000000
Wins——————
Draws——————
Loses——————

League goals

Metric Independiente Azogues LDU Portoviejo
HATHAT
GF total000000
GF avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0
GA total000000
GA avg0.00.00.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5————
1.5————
2.5————
3.5————
4.5————

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
Wins00
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses————
Goals For0000
Goals Against0000

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente AzoguesLDU Portoviejo
Form0%0%
Att0%0%
Def0%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total0%0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Independiente Azogues vs LDU Portoviejo
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Independiente Azogues
vs
LDU Portoviejo
Copa Ecuador • Ecuador • Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 23:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
0.05
Independiente Azogues xG League Avg: 0.95
Total
0.10
0.05
LDU Portoviejo xG League Avg: 1.36
1x2 probabilities
Home
4.6%
Draw
90.7%
Away
4.6%
Best score tips
Tip
0 - 0
90.5%
Tip
0 - 1
4.5%
Tip
1 - 0
4.5%
More chances
1.5+
0%
Chance
2.5+
0%
Chance
3.5+
0%
Chance
BTTS
0%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#IndependienteAzogues #LduPortoviejo #CopaEcuador #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Azogues = 0.05 (league 0.95), LDU Portoviejo = 0.05 (league 1.36)

LDU Portoviejo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Azogues 0 90.5% 4.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.6% · Draw 90.7% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1