Division Intermedia — Paraguay
Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Not Started

SOL DE America

—

Paraguari AC

Expected Goals
2.33 (league 1.29) 0.98 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.3% 18.1% 14.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Paraguari AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SOL DE America 0 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

SOL DE America carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 42 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: SOL DE America -3.4, Paraguari AC +11.5.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
SOL DE America Elo 1518.5 · -3.4
vs
Paraguari AC Elo 1511.5 · +11.5
Elo gapSOL DE America +42
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3030
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3030
Elo home share 56%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
Overall Elo1518.51511.5
Form Elo1503.21563.2
Home / Away Elo1513.41500
Attack Elo1506.31515.7
Defense Elo1536.81511.5
Last 5 Elo change-3.4+11.5

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. SOL DE America last-5 Elo change: -3.4; Paraguari AC last-5 Elo change: +11.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Played33
Form22%33%
Attack18%36%
Defense73%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 14 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins0%0%0%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%33%50%100%67%
SOL DE AmericaDLD
Paraguari ACWLL

League goals

Metric SOL DE America Paraguari AC
HATHAT
GF total202314
GF avg1.00.00.71.51.01.3
GA total213134
GA avg1.01.01.00.53.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%67%67%
1.50%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Wins01
Draws10
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-0—
Biggest losses—1-00-13-1
Goals For1031
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricSOL DE AmericaParaguari AC
Form40%60%
Att33%67%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.3%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • SOL DE America vs Paraguari AC
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

SOL DE America
vs
Paraguari AC
Division Intermedia • Paraguay • Fri, Apr 24 2026 • 22:30 • Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Expected goals
2.33
SOL DE America xG League Avg: 1.29
Total
3.32
0.98
Paraguari AC xG League Avg: 1.02
1x2 probabilities
Home
64.3%
Draw
18.1%
Away
14.3%
Best score tips
Tip
2 - 0
9.9%
Tip
2 - 1
9.7%
Tip
1 - 0
8.5%
More chances
1.5+
74%
Chance
2.5+
52%
Chance
3.5+
37%
Chance
BTTS
80%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#SolDeAmerica #ParaguariAc #DivisionIntermedia #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): SOL DE America = 2.33 (league 1.29), Paraguari AC = 0.98 (league 1.02)

Paraguari AC
0 1 2 3 4 5
SOL DE America 0 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.5% 8.3% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.9% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 7.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 14.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1